SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
67.38% ( 2.24) | 19.18% ( -0.87) | 13.44% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.89) | 42.72% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( 0.88) | 65.13% ( -0.88) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( 0.89) | 11.71% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.17% ( 1.87) | 36.83% ( -1.87) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.73% ( -1.43) | 43.27% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% ( -1.22) | 79.52% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.57% Total : 67.38% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.39% Total : 13.44% |
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