SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Farnborough Town |
14.59% ( 0.82) | 19.12% ( -0.19) | 66.29% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( 2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( 2.71) | 39.83% ( -2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( 2.76) | 62.18% ( -2.76) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( 2.88) | 39.79% ( -2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( 2.55) | 76.46% ( -2.55) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( 0.61) | 11.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.34% ( 1.33) | 35.66% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.59% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.36)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.58)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.12% | 0-2 @ 10.67% ( -0.82) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.74% ( -1.01)0-3 @ 7.8% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.34)0-5 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.23)1-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.13)Other @ 4.1% Total : 66.29% |
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