Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.