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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.27% ( 0.07) | 26.3% ( 0.02) | 41.44% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.05) | 52.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.05) | 73.81% ( 0.04) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( 0.02) | 30.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0.03) | 66.36% ( -0.03) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.07) | 24.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.1) | 59.42% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.43% |
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