SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Salisbury |
46.08% ( -0.14) | 25.45% ( 0.06) | 28.47% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.21) | 50.19% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0.18) | 72.14% ( 0.18) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( -0.15) | 21.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( -0.23) | 54.97% ( 0.23) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.05) | 31.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( -0.06) | 68.36% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Salisbury |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.47% |
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