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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
Farnborough

Odokonyero (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haigh (51'), Pendlebury (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawFarnborough Town
28.93% (-0.096 -0.1) 23.78% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 47.29% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.14% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.080999999999996 0.08)42.61% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.01% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)27.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)63.26% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.078000000000003 0.08)18.21% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.137 0.14)49.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 28.93%
    Farnborough Town 47.29%
    Draw 23.78%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.32% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 47.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Truro City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Farnborough
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South


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