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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 2
Farnborough

Roberts (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Holmes (36'), Pendlebury (75')
Pruti (47')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Weymouth
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Weymouth win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
18.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 19.91% (-0.032 -0.03) 61.4% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.32% (0.063000000000002 0.06)35.68% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.25% (0.068999999999996 0.07)57.75% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)68.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)11.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1)35.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 18.69%
    Farnborough Town 61.4%
    Draw 19.91%
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.91%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 3.9% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.51% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 61.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Weymouth
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Weymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 4-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Farnborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South


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