SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
50.06% ( -0.57) | 24.21% ( 0.2) | 25.73% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.56) | 46.83% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.53) | 69.08% ( 0.53) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.44) | 18.75% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.87% ( -0.73) | 50.13% ( 0.74) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0) | 32.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( 0) | 68.78% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.06% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.73% |
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