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National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Jeffers (24' pen.), Blackman (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watts (12')
Jenkins (23')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 4-4 St Albans City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawChelmsford City
20.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.58% (0.004999999999999 0) 56.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)49.83% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)71.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.04% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)75.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.55% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)48.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 20.21%
    Chelmsford City 56.2%
    Draw 23.58%
St Albans CityDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 20.21%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.92%
0-2 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-3 @ 6.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 4-4 St Albans City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Maidstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South


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