Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Albans City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
20.21% ( 0.03) | 23.58% ( 0) | 56.21% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.17% ( 0.01) | 49.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.17% ( 0.01) | 71.83% ( -0.01) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.96% ( 0.03) | 39.04% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.24% ( 0.03) | 75.76% ( -0.03) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% ( -0.01) | 17.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.91% ( -0.01) | 48.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Albans City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.21% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 0-2 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.2% |
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