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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
32.12% ( -0.05) | 25.39% ( 0.01) | 42.48% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.05) | 48.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.04) | 70.46% ( 0.04) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( -0.06) | 28.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( -0.08) | 64.17% ( 0.07) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0) | 22.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( 0) | 56.29% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.48% |
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