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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
41.79% ( 0.18) | 25.49% ( -0) | 32.72% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( -0.03) | 48.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( -0.03) | 70.69% ( 0.04) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.07) | 23.1% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 0.1) | 56.94% ( -0.1) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.12) | 28.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( -0.16) | 63.85% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.72% |
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