Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.