Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
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