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National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park
DA

Havant & W'ville
4 - 3
Dover Athletic

Seager (5'), McCarthy (12'), Phillips (50', 60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dunne (36' pen., 75' pen.), Wilkinson (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawDover Athletic
49.67% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)63.03% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44%16.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.32% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)27.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 49.67%
    Dover Athletic 27.22%
    Draw 23.1%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawDover Athletic
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 49.67%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.6%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Welling United
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South


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