SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
50.27% ( 0.54) | 24.4% ( -0.13) | 25.33% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( 0.23) | 47.93% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 0.21) | 70.11% ( -0.21) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( 0.31) | 19.09% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( 0.5) | 50.7% ( -0.5) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.21) | 33.19% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( -0.23) | 69.8% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.33% |
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