SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
53.29% ( 0.13) | 22.71% ( -0.05) | 23.99% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.12) | 41.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.12) | 64.15% ( -0.12) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( 0.09) | 15.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( 0.16) | 44.72% ( -0.16) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0) | 30.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% ( -0.01) | 67.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 53.29% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 23.99% |
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