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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Welling United |
41.72% ( 0.02) | 24.77% ( -0.01) | 33.52% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.05) | 45.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.05) | 67.45% ( -0.05) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.03) | 21.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( 0.05) | 54.76% ( -0.05) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.02) | 25.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.99% ( 0.02) | 61.01% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.52% |
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