Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
