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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
46.32% ( 0.04) | 25.73% ( 0.06) | 27.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.31) | 51.62% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0.27) | 73.41% ( 0.26) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.11) | 22.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.16) | 55.71% ( 0.16) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.24) | 33.06% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.27) | 69.66% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.95% |
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