Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.26) 
