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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
25.99% ( 0.16) | 24.54% ( 0.1) | 49.47% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.28) | 48.03% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.26) | 70.2% ( 0.25) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.02) | 32.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% ( -0.02) | 69.26% ( 0.02) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0.21) | 19.45% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( -0.34) | 51.29% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.47% |
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