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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
59.12% ( -0.41) | 23.77% ( 0.32) | 17.11% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -1.02) | 54.69% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( -0.85) | 76.02% ( 0.85) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.53) | 18.27% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -0.9) | 49.33% ( 0.91) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.48) | 45.47% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.69% ( -0.38) | 81.31% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.11% |
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