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National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Ruff (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Iaciofano (77' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
59.12% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.77% (0.317 0.32) 17.11% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.56% (-0.681 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-1.019 -1.02)54.69% (1.023 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.851 -0.85)76.02% (0.854 0.85)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)18.27% (0.528 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.901 -0.9)49.33% (0.906 0.91)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.52% (-0.476 -0.48)45.47% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (-0.377 -0.38)81.31% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 59.11%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 17.11%
    Draw 23.77%
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 14.12% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 12% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 17.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South


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