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National League South | Gameweek 24
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
BT

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Braintree

Hughes (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janneh (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
33.05% (-3.376 -3.38) 26.51% (-0.439 -0.44) 40.45% (3.817 3.82)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (1.398 1.4)52.74% (-1.398 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (1.182 1.18)74.37% (-1.182 -1.18)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.431 -1.43)30.01% (1.431 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-1.759 -1.76)66.13% (1.759 1.76)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (2.807 2.81)25.65% (-2.805 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (3.671 3.67)60.54% (-3.671 -3.67)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 33.05%
    Braintree Town 40.45%
    Draw 26.5%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.917 -0.92)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.803 -0.8)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.532 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.703 0.7)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.52 0.52)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.541 0.54)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.231 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.265 0.27)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Braintree
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Hampton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Dartford
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South


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