SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
24.24% ( -6.46) | 22.5% ( -1.15) | 53.26% ( 7.62) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.49) | 40.51% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( 0.5) | 62.89% ( -0.48) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -4.36) | 30.09% ( 4.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -5.57) | 66.22% ( 5.58) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% ( 2.99) | 15.25% ( -2.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% ( 5.34) | 43.92% ( -5.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -1.13) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.86)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -1.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.84)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.63)Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.41)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 1.32)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.88)0-3 @ 5.09% ( 1.23)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.65)0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.75)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.21)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.26% |
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