SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
30.07% ( 0.1) | 25.43% ( -0.08) | 44.5% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.4) | 49.28% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.36) | 71.34% ( -0.36) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.27) | 30.29% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( 0.33) | 66.47% ( -0.32) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.16) | 22.12% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.25) | 55.49% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.49% |
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