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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
1 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Dodd (68')
Grubb (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Re (17')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Weston
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawHemel Hempstead Town
51.47% (0.1 0.1) 24.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.34% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.039999999999992 0.04)18.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)33.44% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)70.07% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 51.46%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 24.5%
    Draw 24.03%
Weston-super-MareDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Weston
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Slough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-6 Weston
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-2 Wrexham
Sunday, November 11 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South


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