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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bulpit Lane
BT

Hungerford
2 - 1
Braintree

Jones (55'), Boachie (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blair (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 2-5 Hungerford
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawBraintree Town
36.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 36.92% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (0.261 0.26)52.3% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.223 0.22)73.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.123 0.12)27.6% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (0.156 0.16)63.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (0.16399999999999 0.16)27.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.213 0.21)62.87% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 36.58%
    Braintree Town 36.92%
    Draw 26.49%
Hungerford TownDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 2-5 Hungerford
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Hungerford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Welling United
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Hungerford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Hungerford
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Braintree
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Hampton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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