SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.51%) and 3-1 (6.47%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Hungerford Town |
53% ( -0.04) | 21.05% ( -0) | 25.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.53% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.07) | 31.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( 0.08) | 53.32% ( -0.08) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( 0.01) | 12.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.87% ( 0.02) | 38.13% ( -0.02) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.06) | 24.12% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.09) | 58.42% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.38% 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.95% |
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