SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Braintree Town |
35.7% ( 0.04) | 25.05% ( 0.01) | 39.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.06) | 45.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( -0.06) | 68.29% ( 0.06) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.01) | 25.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0.01) | 59.85% ( 0.01) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.05) | 23.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.08) | 57.14% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.25% |
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