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National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bulpit Lane

Hungerford
2 - 0
Eastbourne

Rollinson (6'), Tyler (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawEastbourne Borough
39.87% (0.052 0.05) 25.12% (0.055 0.05) 35.01% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-0.267 -0.27)46.39% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (-0.252 -0.25)68.68% (0.255 0.25)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)23.1% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.134 -0.13)56.95% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.187 -0.19)25.72% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.256 -0.26)60.65% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 39.87%
    Eastbourne Borough 35.01%
    Draw 25.12%
Hungerford TownDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Hungerford
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Hungerford
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Welling United
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-4 Bath City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-7 Dartford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Eastbourne
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Billericay
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South


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