SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Oxford City |
24.69% ( -0.01) | 25.28% ( -0) | 50.03% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( 0.01) | 73.78% ( -0.01) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( -0) | 35.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.24% ( -0) | 72.76% |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( 0.01) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.51% ( 0.02) | 53.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.03% |
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