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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.75% ( -0.22) | 26% ( -0.27) | 42.24% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( 1.04) | 51.03% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.9) | 72.89% ( -0.9) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.37) | 30.01% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( 0.45) | 66.14% ( -0.45) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.71) | 23.95% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.82% ( 1) | 58.18% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.24% |
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