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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Oxford City |
21.7% ( -0.05) | 23.62% ( -0) | 54.68% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( -0.04) | 48.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -0.04) | 70.37% ( 0.03) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.07) | 36.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( -0.07) | 73.4% ( 0.07) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0) | 17.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 0.01) | 48.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.68% |
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