SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Weymouth |
51.85% ( -0.01) | 22.02% ( 0) | 26.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.01) | 36.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.01) | 58.56% ( 0.01) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0.01) | 14.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( -0.02) | 42.07% ( 0.02) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0) | 26.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( 0) | 61.63% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 3% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.13% |
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