SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
48.71% ( 0.04) | 24.66% ( -0.01) | 26.63% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.01) | 48.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( 0.01) | 70.2% ( -0.01) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0.02) | 19.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( 0.04) | 51.81% ( -0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( -0.02) | 68.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.63% |
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