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National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
2 - 3
Tonbridge Angels

McConnell (13', 64')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Turner (35'), Greenidge (37', 89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Slough
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawTonbridge Angels
55.17% (0.080999999999996 0.08) 22.86% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 21.98% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (0.067 0.07)44.64% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.063000000000002 0.06)67.01% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (0.051999999999992 0.05)16.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (0.094000000000001 0.09)45.42% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)34.34% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 55.16%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.98%
    Draw 22.85%
St Albans CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-3 St Albans City
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Slough
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-5 Weymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League South


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