SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | St Albans City |
25.03% ( -1.36) | 24.11% ( -0.16) | 50.87% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.44) | 46.95% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.41) | 69.2% ( 0.41) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -1.34) | 32.92% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -1.52) | 69.49% ( 1.52) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( 0.43) | 18.48% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( 0.72) | 49.68% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.03% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.87% |
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