SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
47.56% ( -0.05) | 23.03% ( 0) | 29.41% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.26% ( 0.01) | 38.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.01) | 61.04% ( -0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.02) | 16.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( -0.02) | 46.43% ( 0.02) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( 0.05) | 60.24% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 4.35% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.41% |
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