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National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
3 - 1
Hornchurch

Rutherford (17'), Carter (18'), Prior (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Akinwande (43')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawAFC Hornchurch
47.56% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.26% (0.012 0.01)38.74% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)61.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)46.43% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.032999999999987 0.03)25.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.047999999999995 0.05)60.24% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 47.56%
    AFC Hornchurch 29.41%
    Draw 23.02%
Dorking WanderersDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.41%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Horsham 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 3-1 Dorking
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Dorking
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 St Albans City
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Leiston
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Hashtag United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South


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