SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
24.13% ( -0.22) | 24.55% ( 0) | 51.31% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.22) | 49.61% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.2) | 71.63% ( 0.2) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.32) | 35.13% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( -0.33) | 71.87% ( 0.33) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0) | 19.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0) | 51.09% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.14% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 51.3% |
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