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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
53.28% ( 0.12) | 24.84% ( -0.02) | 21.88% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( -0.02) | 52.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( -0.02) | 74.54% ( 0.02) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0.04) | 19.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( 0.07) | 51.92% ( -0.07) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( -0.11) | 39.1% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% ( -0.11) | 75.81% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.88% |
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