Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
