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National League South | Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Marsh Lane

Oxford City
2 - 0
Hemel Hempstead

Owusu (30'), Bradbury (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
51.39%23.28%25.32%
Both teams to score 57.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92%43.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53%65.47%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18%46.81%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 51.39%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 25.32%
    Draw 23.28%
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-1 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 25.32%

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