Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.