SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
49.65% ( -0.16) | 25.03% ( 0.01) | 25.32% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.07) | 50.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( 0.07) | 72.47% ( -0.07) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.04) | 20.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( -0.06) | 52.79% ( 0.06) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.17) | 34.62% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( 0.18) | 71.34% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.32% |
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