SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | St Albans City |
46.06% ( -0.15) | 25.37% ( -0.03) | 28.57% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.21) | 49.78% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( 0.19) | 71.78% ( -0.19) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( 0.02) | 21.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( 0.03) | 54.72% ( -0.03) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.24) | 31.63% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.27) | 68.04% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.57% |
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