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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
54.24% ( 0.04) | 24.3% ( 0.05) | 21.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.33) | 51.27% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.29) | 73.1% ( 0.28) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.11) | 18.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.74% ( -0.18) | 50.25% ( 0.18) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( -0.28) | 38.57% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( -0.27) | 75.32% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.46% |
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