SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Maidstone United |
27.82% ( 0.06) | 26.04% ( 0.04) | 46.14% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.11) | 52.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( -0.09) | 74.51% ( 0.09) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% ( -0.02) | 33.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% ( -0.02) | 70.5% ( 0.01) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.09) | 22.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( -0.13) | 56.65% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.14% |
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