SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Aveley |
47.51% ( -0.02) | 25.21% ( 0.01) | 27.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( -0.04) | 49.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( -0.04) | 71.89% ( 0.04) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.03) | 21.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( -0.04) | 53.81% ( 0.04) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.02) | 32.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( -0.02) | 69.23% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.28% |
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