Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
