SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Slough Town |
45.13% ( -0.15) | 25.37% ( 0.02) | 29.5% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.03) | 49.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( -0.02) | 71.33% ( 0.02) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -0.08) | 21.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -0.12) | 55.04% ( 0.12) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( 0.08) | 30.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( 0.09) | 66.94% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Slough Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.5% |
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