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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 2
St Albans City

McClure (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weiss (42'), Morrall (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 1-4 Dartford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Albans City in this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawSt Albans City
24.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.86% (-0.023 -0.02) 52.45% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.26% (0.069000000000003 0.07)41.73% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86% (0.068999999999996 0.07)64.14% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)66.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045000000000002 0.05)15.96% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (0.083000000000006 0.08)45.25% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 24.69%
    St Albans City 52.45%
    Draw 22.86%
Chippenham TownDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 1-4 Dartford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-2 Maidstone
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dartford
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South


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