Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Albans City in this match.
Result | ||
Chippenham Town | Draw | St Albans City |
24.69% ( -0.04) | 22.86% ( -0.02) | 52.45% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.26% ( 0.07) | 41.73% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% ( 0.07) | 64.14% ( -0.07) |
Chippenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( 0.01) | 30.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( 0.01) | 66.58% ( -0.01) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( 0.05) | 15.96% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% ( 0.08) | 45.25% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Chippenham Town | Draw | St Albans City |
2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.45% |
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