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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City

Aransibia (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wiltshire (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
39.98% (0.692 0.69) 26.46% (0.314 0.31) 33.56% (-1.004 -1)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-1.223 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-1.474 -1.47)52.43% (1.476 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-1.28 -1.28)74.11% (1.28 1.28)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)25.76% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.414 -0.41)60.69% (0.415 0.41)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-1.353 -1.35)29.52% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-1.683 -1.68)65.54% (1.685 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 39.97%
    St Albans City 33.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.284 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Billericay
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-3 Chelmsford City
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 St Albans City
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-0 St Albans City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-3 Chelmsford City
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South


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