National League South | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City

Aransibia (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wiltshire (61')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Braintree Town	0	0	0
3	Chelmsford City	0	0	0
4	Cheshunt	0	0	0

St Albans City

Last Six:

Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Slough Town	0	0	0
19	St Albans City	0	0	0
20	Taunton Town	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	St Albans City
39.98% ( 0.69)	26.46% ( 0.31)	33.56% ( -1)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56% (

-1.47)

52.43% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89% (

-1.28)

74.11% (

1.28)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-0.3)

25.76% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-0.41)

60.69% (

0.41)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

-1.35)

29.52% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-1.68)

65.54% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 39.97%

St Albans City 33.56%

Draw 26.45%

Chelmsford City	Draw	St Albans City
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.97%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.56%