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National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park
W

Havant & W'ville
2 - 2
Weymouth

Roberts (7', 48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ash (41'), O'Connell (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWeymouth
49.74% (0.121 0.12) 22.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 60.67% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)40.02% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)62.38% (0.104 0.1)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)16.3% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.134 -0.13)27.52% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.176 -0.18)63.03% (0.18 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 49.74%
    Weymouth 27.28%
    Draw 22.97%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWeymouth
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Weymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-5 Hungerford
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South


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